Friday 4 April 2008

County game basks in calm before the storm

Cricket may be entering an uncertain phase at the moment, with the Indian leagues and money threatening the stucture of the game as we now know it, but the portents of the English summer remain as reassuring and unmistakeable as ever. And whatever becomes of cricket in the next decade, which could be defining, one senses that nothing will ever change in the comforting sequence of the calendar flicking over to April, the clocks going forward, the new Wisden rolling off the press and the English county season beginning in the confounding mixture of brilliant sun and incessant showers that spring in the sceptred isle tends to provide.

For all that one county, Sussex, has taken the spoils three years out of the last five, the Championship remains anything but predictable. Nottinghamshire, 2005 winners, suffered relegation in 2006; Durham, who escaped the same fate that year by half a point, were Sussex's closest challengers last season. Yorkshire, miserable for much of 2006, title challengers in 07, both times finished 6th. The beauty of the competition was crystallised in its conclusion last year: Sussex won at a canter to set a clubhouse lead, only to see Lancashire make a serious attempt at the 489 they needed to steal the prize. VVS Laxman led the charge at The Oval, ever the ground of late summer, with a run-a-ball century, but Lancahsire fell agonisingly short, Dominic Cork the last man down. Another title for Sussex; another year of failure for Lanchasire; another year of glorious success for Mark Ramprakash, who plundered twin centuries in the same game to mark up a second consecutive 2000-run season.

Sussex, providing Mushtaq is permitted to play, will be contenders again, even if age and departures may stretch their well-used resources too thin. With the retirement of Richard Montgomerie, the weakness of their opening partnership is exacerbated, while Mihcael Yardy will have to take some of the strain from the ageing duo of Goodwin and Adams if they are to score enough runs for Mushtaq to play with, although the return of Matt Prior from England duty should help. Lancashire ought to compete again, with runs aplenty expected from Law, Hodge and Loye. If England are prudent, they will also have the services of Andrew Flintoff for a longer period than injury or Duncan Fletcher have allowed for much of this decade.

The relative strengths and weaknesses of the other teams make their prospects diffucult to predict. Nottinghamshire could struggle with Ryan Sidebottom and new signing Stuart Broad now in England's clutches, while Hampshire, who have tended to be strong in recent years, are without their top three wicket-takers from 2007 and much will rest on the rarely reliable shoulders of Shane Bond, whom injury has never yet permitted to fulfil a county contract.

The chancesof the top-flight teams broadly in the title mix can be plausibly talked up or down: Surrey and Somerset have the batting strength, with former internationals Langer, Trescothick, Ramprakash and Butcher likely to provide runs in bulk. Their fortunes will depend much on the bowling, which has let down Surrey, in particular, in the recent past. They have, however, recruited shrewdly, bringing in Pedro Collins and Saqlain Mushtaq to bolster an attack which has yet to recover from the loss of Martin Bicknell. As it has been for the past few seasons, the unenviable Taunton bowling duties will fall largely on the shoulders of Andrew Caddick and Charl Willoughbly. Indefatigable as Caddick, in his 40th year, remains, the support for the new ball duo looks too thin to sustain any serious title challenge, with the influence of the likes of Peter Trego and Steffan Jones likely to be dimished by the superior Division 1 batsmen.

Durham have lost Ottis Gibson, one of the stars of 2007, but should have Steve Harmison for the whole season to lead an attack which still reads like a tall English seamers production line, Liam Plunkett and Graham Onions featuring. They should hoover up wickets, while a hardy corps of international batmsen, led by Michael Di Venuto and Dale Benkenstein, with Neil McKenzie and Shivnarine Chanderpaul to feature alternately, means they should be near the top again. Yorkshire's team is built on similar foundations, with the common theme of an England bowler returning not necessarily just for April, although Hoggard's chance of a quick recall to the international fold is significantly greater than that of his old new ball partner. If Darren Gough's legs can carry him through another season, and Rana Naved comes through contractual and injury complications, the seam attack should be formidable, while Adil Rashid, who has survived the hype from his first flowering and circumnavigated the difficult second season, will have a telling influence either way. Yorkshire might be inspired in patches, as was the case last season, but a flimsy-looking middle order and general lack of batting class, Rudolph and McGrath excepted, makes a concerted title challenge unlikely. The same is probably true of Kent, who lack the sprinkling of star quality usually needed to pick up silverware, but whose strong all-round contingent and experience should make them a tricky proposition and as unlikely to descend from comfortable mid-table as they are to rise from it.

The picture is slightly clearer, although by no means defined, in the second division which, eight years on, is increasingly cast afloat from the top flight. Unusually, neither of the two teams relegated last season appear nailed on for an immediate return. Worcestershire have a reasonable chance if their younger batsmen can support the veteran brigade of Hick, Smith and Solanki, while the fitness of seamers Matt Mason and Simon Jones will be crucial. Wawrickshire, who sunk without trace in the second half of last season, have much convincing to do, and look short on class in both batting and bowling, a situation not helped by the loss of Tim Ambrose to England. Middlesex, their middle order a class above, the seam bowling a healthy mix of youth and experience in Steven Finn, Chris Silverwood and Alan Richardson, look favourites for promotion. Essex could join them and Jason Gallian looks a cute acquisition, to help guide the talented but inexperienced duo of Chopra and Pettini which went astray last season.

Glamorgan and Leicestershire might well scrap to avoid the wooden spoon, both lacking enough high class players to damage the better teams. Derbyshire are a slight wild card, their management having thrown a lot of money at some big names, with Mahela Jayawardene, Chris Rogers and Rikki Clarke all to feature. Two more Kolpak signings are also reportedly in the pipeline and, if not a good bet to challenge for promotion this season, they could be laying the foundation for the years to come. Gloucestershire, struggling in the Championship and a shadow of the supreme one-day unit of a few years ago, will require significant contributions from captain Jon Lewis and overseas duo Marcus North and Hamish Marshall to compete.

In addition to the usual array of high-class overseas players, the season also provides an intriuging glimpse of England past and future. Mark Ramprakash will be looking for a third stellar season in a row, and Graeme Hick, who will turn 42 during the campaign, remains omnipresent. While Marcus Trescothick's international retirement is grievous for England, it is a boon for Somerset and the county game, both of which should benefit from his runs and high-profile. Potential England opening batsmen and bowlers are also in plentiful supply, Joe Denly and Billy Godleman looking to add themselves to a congested queue for batting places, with their more experienced colleagues Rob Key and Owais Shah not out of contention either. On the bowling front, Liam Plunkett and Graham Onions should aim to advance from promising to consistent performing, with the younger James Harris and Steven Finn also on the march. Ultimately, with a souped-up Twenty20 competition in the pipeline to respond to the IPL and radical ideas being tabled, it is a season which should be enjoyed and savoured. It may never be the same again.